PHOENIX — Arizona has a national reputation for hard-core conservatism, but it’s inevitable that Democrats will hold sway in the state as the Latino population grows and independent voters surge, a pollster says.
The shift has been slowed thus far by a lack of participation by Latino and independent voters, said Jim Haynes, president and CEO of the Phoenix-based Behavior Research Center.
“It’s just all the population dynamics point to sooner or later — and I’m going to say later, which is to say maybe a couple of presidential election cycles from now — before Arizona becomes a blue state,” he told those attending a recent conference in Phoenix of the Society of American Business Editors and Writers.
“If more Latinos aren’t voting, if independents keep abdicating, then it’s hard to see Arizona going blue any time soon,” Haynes said. “Having said that, ultimately, again, it’s inevitable.”